New Iowa poll shows unexpected shift just days before presidential election
A fresh poll from Iowa suggests surprising voter preferences ahead of next weeks election. The data shows significant changes in key demographic groups especially among older voters and women
A new-and-unexpected poll shows Kamala Harris leading in Iowa just days before the election. The well-known pollster Ann Selzer found that Harris has 47% support while Donald Trump trails at 44%
The late-October survey (which included 808 likely-voters) shows dramatic shifts in key groups: women above 65 prefer Harris by a huge margin — 63% to 28%. Independent voters back her with 46% support; meanwhile women overall favor her by 20 points
Another poll by Emerson College shows different results: Trump leads by nine points (54% to 45%). The Trump campaigns chief-pollster Tony Fabrizio quickly labeled Selzers findings as different from usual trends
- Wisconsin
- Michigan
- Pennsylvania
- North Carolina
- Georgia
- Arizona
- Nevada
Both candidates dont spend much time in Iowa focusing instead on the above battle-ground states. The state which used to be safe-Republican territory offers 6 electoral votes out of 270 needed to win
Some experts think the states new six-week abortion rule (started in mid-2024) might explain Harrisʼs unexpected support. Shes made protecting abortion rights a key part of her message — which seems to affect voter choices in this mid-western state
The nation-wide picture shows Harris with a tiny one-point lead but Iowaʼs shifting numbers could mean bigger changes are coming. Selzer whose past predictions were often right says: “Its hard for anybody to say they saw this coming“
