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UK Faces Surge in Long-Term Sick Leave, Experts Propose 'Sin Taxes' Solution

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Experts predict a 50% rise in long-term sick leave by 2029. A cross-party commission suggests new taxes on unhealthy products to improve public health and boost the economy.

A recent report by the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) warns of a significant increase in long-term sick leave among UK workers. Experts project that by 2029, over 4.3 million individuals could be economically inactive due to illness, up from 2.8 million today. This alarming trend has prompted calls for radical measures to address the nation's health crisis.

The Commission on Health and Prosperity, led by Lord Darzi and Dame Sally Davies, proposes a series of so-called "sin taxes" to combat unhealthy lifestyles and their economic impact. These levies would target products such as processed foods, alcohol, tobacco, and gambling services.

According to the report, one-third of UK deaths and disease burden stem from the combined effects of tobacco, poor diet, and alcohol consumption. The commission argues that addressing these issues is crucial for both public health and economic prosperity.

"Public health measures are popular with the public once in place. But they prove divisive in the media. And yet, arguments about the impact on civil liberties always miss the crucial point: that tolerating avoidable sickness is no path to greater freedom."

Dame Sally Davies, former chief medical officer of England, states:

The proposed taxes could potentially raise £10 billion annually by 2030, which could be used to subsidize healthier food options and fund health research. This approach aligns with the "polluter pays" principle, aiming to incentivize businesses to reformulate their products for better health outcomes.

Wes Streeting, the Health Secretary, has expressed interest in studying these ideas closely. The report suggests that 70% of heart disease, 40% of cancers, and nearly all cases of type 2 diabetes are preventable, highlighting the potential impact of proactive health measures.

The commission also recommends reinstating the ONS Health Index as a national statistic to track progress on health creation. This aligns with the growing global recognition of the "health in all policies" approach, which emphasizes the impact of non-health sectors on public health.

As the UK grapples with its status as the "sick man of Europe," these proposals aim to create a healthier, more prosperous nation. The success of previous public health initiatives, such as the soft drinks industry levy introduced in 2018, provides a precedent for the potential effectiveness of such measures.

The report's recommendations come at a critical time, as the UK faces increasing pressure on its National Health Service and a potential worklessness crisis. By focusing on prevention rather than just treatment, the commission hopes to add 10 years to healthy life expectancy by 2055, building on the government's previous target set in 2018 to add five years by 2035.

As the debate unfolds, the UK stands at a crossroads, balancing public health concerns with economic imperatives and individual freedoms. The outcome of this discussion could shape the nation's health and prosperity for generations to come.

Oliver Grant

Society

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