In Tel Aviv, Israel's bustling metropolis, a concerning trend is emerging as skilled professionals contemplate leaving the country due to ongoing conflict. Bjørt Kragesteen, a 37-year-old molecular genetics researcher, exemplifies this exodus as she prepares to relocate to Stockholm with her family.
"I don't want to live here again. That is something the war changed for me."
Kragesteen's experience highlights the daily challenges faced by Israelis. The constant threat of missile attacks has forced residents to remain vigilant, with many sleeping fully clothed and keeping emergency supplies readily accessible. Parents take turns monitoring nurseries, prepared to evacuate children to underground shelters at a moment's notice.
The economic repercussions of the conflict are becoming increasingly apparent. While Israel's economy has shown resilience, growing by 3.4% in Q1 2024 and 0.2% in Q2, concerns about a potential brain drain are mounting. Aaron Ciechanover, a Nobel Prize-winning scientist, recently warned of a "huge wave of departures" affecting critical sectors such as healthcare and academia.
The tech industry, a cornerstone of Israel's economy known as "Silicon Wadi," is particularly vulnerable to this talent exodus. Alon Eizenberg, an economics professor at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, notes that while some brain drain is inevitable, it's too early to determine the full extent of the impact.
Despite the challenges, daily life in Tel Aviv continues with a semblance of normalcy. However, the economic strain is evident in rising food and housing costs, which are affecting ordinary Israelis. Omer, a 38-year-old digital marketing professional living in a kibbutz near Tel Aviv, emphasizes the psychological toll of these increased expenses.
The ongoing conflict has also led to significant government spending on defense and civilian costs. The Bank of Israel estimates that between 2023 and 2025, the country will spend approximately $67 billion on these efforts. This has resulted in a budget deficit of 8.3% of GDP as of August 2024, raising concerns among economists about fiscal stability.
Itai Ater, an economist at Tel Aviv University, expresses worry about the government's ability to address these challenges effectively. The potential for further escalation, particularly in the north, could exacerbate the economic situation.
As Israel grapples with these multifaceted challenges, the future remains uncertain for many of its citizens. The conflict has shaken the foundations of a nation once known for its high happiness index rankings, leaving residents like Kragesteen to make difficult decisions about their future in the country.