Recent polls show Kamala Harris holding a strong early-voting advantage over Donald Trump with margins between 19-29 points (a gap thats notably wider than previous elections)
The battleground states paint an interesting picture; Harris dominates in six key states — Arizona Georgia Michigan North Carolina Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. However: Nevada stands as an outlier with Trump having a 6-point edge according to CNN data
Elon Musk made waves by suggesting a different outcome based on Pennsylvaniaʼs numbers where registered Republicans now make up 32% of mail-in votes (compared to just 21% back in 2020) — this led him to predict a “crushing victory“ for Trump. However experts suggest its too early to make such predictions
Women are showing up in record-breaking numbers to cast their votes early. The University of Floridaʼs Election Lab reports that females represent 54% of the roughly 60 million early ballots cast — a fact thats particularly notable given Harrisʼs 12-point lead among women voters
Early-voting (which started during the Civil War) has seen big changes since the early-2000s. Most states now offer both in-person and mail-in options but the rules vary by location. The Democratic party has embraced this trend while Republicans — who previously criticized mail-in voting — have shifted their stance and now encourage their supporters to vote early